Third Quarter 2021 Investment Management Commentary
For the year to date, the S&P 500 is up an impressive 15.9%. We think the odds are high that short-term rates will rise but still remain low by historical standards and also below the rate of inflation for several more years. And we expect U.S. stocks to earn an adequate excess return premium above core bonds in our medium-term “upside” scenario.
Research Comments on Evergrande and China’s Property Sector
We have followed these events closely as part of our ongoing research work on China and emerging markets and thus far we are of the view…
Taper Tantrum Part Deux?
One big thing you may have heard about in the headlines is the Federal Reserve's hint that it might start "tapering" soon.
Could the Fed's actions cause a correction or economic slowdown?
Is The Sky Falling Again?
We thought this post was going to be about the $3.5 trillion budget deal or what to do with any child tax credits that may be heading your way. But then global markets jolted on fears of new viral variants. Is the sky actually falling?
Second Quarter 2021 Investment Management Commentary
This brings us once again to the macroeconomic topic du jour: inflation. More specifically, whether the recent surge in U.S. consumer prices is transitory or a macroeconomic “regime change” to a high-inflation environment.
A tale of two infrastructure deals
After weeks of grandstanding, posturing, and wrangling, it looks like a bipartisan infrastructure deal that both parties can live with is in the works. Good news: no tax hikes. But you'll want to read on because we're not out of the woods yet.
Tax worries? Info inside.
So, we've got dueling infrastructure bills, plus a big proposed budget with lots of spending (and higher taxes inside). That's a lot of expensive legislation on the table. What's going to happen next?
Our Views on Inflation
We see an economy reflating as it recovers from a recession, not one on the edge of a hyperinflationary spiral. We have already positioned our portfolios to offer some inflation protection. But if we see the need to further hedge against inflation, we have additional options, each of which comes with tradeoffs.
88% there?
Two things to discuss today: the economy (getting better) and taxes (going up?). Let’s dive in. The light at the end of the tunnel is getting closer and brighter…
April 2021 Monthly Market Update
Our view continues to be that the near-term spike in U.S. consumer price inflation, which we are starting to see, will prove to be…
Higher taxes in 2022?
More spending = higher taxes? That seems likely with a $2 trillion American Jobs Plan (that could eventually cost trillions more) on the table to bolster America’s crumbling infrastructure and invest in R&D. What could those tax hikes look like? Let’s consider the possibilities.
First Quarter 2021 Investment Commentary
Clearly, it paid not to panic and get out of the markets last spring, despite the natural fear, anxiety, and uncertainty everyone was feeling at the time.
Rescue bill (what's inside)
So, the next (final?) round of stimulus was signed into law by President Biden. Let’s dive in.
February 2021 Monthly Market Update
During the full month, the Russell 1000 Value Index outperformed its growth counterpart by 607 basis points, which was its best relative month of outperformance in 20 years.
Low-cost and Commission-free Insurance
As a fiduciary, TYME Advisors is committed to helping you find solutions that are best suited to you and your financial goals. To better serve you, we have recently joined with DPL Financial Partners, an insurance network that offers low-cost, commission-free insurance from some of the country’s leading insurance companies.
January 2021 Monthly Market Update
The S&P 500 ended January with an uneventful loss of 1%. However, it was anything but an uneventful month.
GameStop + memes = tulips
Did you hear GameStop went viral?
Here’s a quick guide to the market frenzy you’re seeing in the headlines.
Markets vs Economies: Two Realities?
Why have markets been so strong in the face of crises, medical, economic, and political?
Year End 2020 Investment Commentary
We said in the first quarter that we would get through this crisis and that things would improve and recover. Financial markets recovered first, quicker than they ever have from such a deep economic hole and quicker than anyone could have hoped. Economies have made great progress too but are not back to their pre-COVID-19 levels yet and may not be for another year or two.
New President, New Policies
After months of election uncertainty, Joe Biden was inaugurated as our 46th president, bringing the peaceful transfer of executive power that defines us as a democracy.
President Biden’s pen has been busy, busy, busy so let’s dive into some new policies that could impact you.